S3 E4 : WHAT IS VOLUME, RSI, MACD, MOVING AVERAGES

“How to Read the Market’s Secret Signals (Like Traffic Clues)”


🛣️ Imagine You're Driving on a Busy Road...

You want to know:

- Is the road crowded? (Volume)

- Are we going too fast? (RSI)

- Is a curve coming? (MACD)

- What’s the usual path? (Moving Average)

That’s what technical indicators do in trading — they’re your GPS and traffic tools on the stock market highway.

Let’s break it down.

 


🔊 1. VOLUME — “How Many Cars Are on the Road?”

Volume tells us how many shares were bought and sold.

  1. High Volume = Lot of people trading

  2. Low Volume = Not much interest

👀 Why It Matters:

If a stock price jumps 🚀 with high volume, it’s more reliable.
If it moves with low volume, it might be fake.

🧠 Think: “Are others also seeing what I see?”


🧱 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index)

“How Tired Is the Market?”

RSI tells us if a stock is overbought (too many buyers) or oversold (too many sellers).

Scale: 0 to 100

- Above 70 = Too many buyers → May fall soon

- Below 30 = Too many sellers → May rise soon

🔄 Like a Spring:

If stretched too much, it bounces back.


🧲 3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

“Is a U-turn coming?”

MACD helps spot trend reversals — when a stock may change direction.

It uses:

  1. Fast line

  2. Slow line

  3. A histogram (bar chart)

🔄 When fast line crosses slow line:

  1. Upward = Buy signal
  2. Downward = Sell signal

Think of it like two cars: when the fast car overtakes the slow one, something’s happening.


📈 4. Moving Averages — “What’s the Normal Route?”

Moving Averages show the average stock price over a time (like 20 days or 50 days).

  1. Simple Moving Average (SMA) = Clean average

  2. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) = Gives more weight to recent days

🧠 Why Use It?

  1. To smooth out noise

  2. To spot trends

  3. To set support/resistance levels

Think of it like the usual road traffic — helps you compare today’s crowd with the average.


🏢 Real Example: Reliance

Let’s say Reliance price jumps from ₹2,500 to ₹2,650 in one day.

  1. Volume = Very high

  2. RSI = 85 (overbought)

  3. MACD = Shows upward momentum

  4. Moving Average = Far below current price

You’d say:

“Everyone’s rushing in. But it’s too hot now. I’ll wait for a better entry.”

That’s smart trading.


🧠 Recap:

✅ Volume = How many people are trading
✅ RSI = Is the stock overbought or oversold
✅ MACD = Is a trend change coming
✅ Moving Averages = What’s the normal trend
✅ Use these tools like driving assistants — they don’t control the car, you do